Asia must boost domestic demand, says ADB
Published: 03/05/2009 05:00
| Asia must boost domestic consumption and end its dependence on exports as external demand plunges in the world economic slump, the Asian Development Bank said Sunday. |
| The call was echoed by regional finance ministers gathered at the ADBâs annual meeting on the Indonesian resort island of Bali, where strategies for overcoming the worst financial crisis in 70 years took center stage. Meanwhile the finance ministers from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) plus China, Japan and South Korea agreed Sunday to implement a US$120-billion currency swap agreement by yearâs end. âWe are pleased to announce that we have reached agreement on all the main components of the CMIM (Chiang Mai Initiative) and decided to implement the scheme before the end of the year,â the ministers said in a joint statement. ADB President Haruhiko Kuroda said Asiaâs main export markets had experienced a âmassive contraction in demandâ since the implosion of the US mortgage market triggered the global banking crisis last year. The flow-on effect has seen interest rates on bonds spike higher and Asian currencies depreciate with the flight of foreign capital out of emerging markets, he told a seminar alongside Asian finance ministers including Yosano. Asian governments have responded by slashing benchmark lending rates and spending billions of dollars to stimulate their economies. But Kuroda said such measures would not be enough without structural reform to end the regionâs dependency on demand from rich countries. âOver the longer term, developing Asia is starting the process of rebalancing growth from excessive dependence on external demand to greater resilience on both consumption and investment,â he said. âAlready there are signs that domestic consumption is remaining strong in Asia and may well lead the way out of this downturn.â The ADB is predicting growth of 3.4 percent for the region this year, compared with more than 9 percent in 2007. The bank plans to increase its overall lending assistance by more than $10 billion in 2009 and 2010, including $3 billion to support more fiscal stimulus spending. That would bring total ADB assistance during the period to about $32 billion, compared with about $22 billion in 2007 and 2008, it said. The increased lending is possible thanks to a decision by member states last week to triple the ADBâs capital base, from $55 billion to $165 billion. Some critics said the move was unnecessary given the massive reserves of member countries such as China and India, while others said it meant a âdangerousâ expansion of lending by a bank with a record of weak oversight. Chinese Vice Finance Minister Li Yong, Indian Finance Secretary Ashok Chawla and Indonesian Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati were among the officials who backed Kurodaâs calls for efforts to stimulate domestic consumption. They called for traditional methods such as greater spending on infrastructure, but also stressed the need for more investment in education and social safety nets to give Asian consumers, especially the poor, the confidence to spend. The ADB says the economic crisis has kept some 60 million Asians in extreme poverty who otherwise would have been able to improve their standards of living. In addition to the Chiang Mai swap pool, Yosana said Japan was considering a scheme to offer yen swaps worth up to six trillion yen ($60.4 billion) to be tapped in emergencies. Such swap agreements can be tapped to ease liquidity trouble as they boost the amount of foreign currency regional banks can access while helping companies that use foreign currencies when trading. The ADB has said growth could lift to around six percent in developing Asia next year. The bank focuses on lending for poverty alleviation in Asian developing nations and has 67 member countries including 19 from outside Asia. Source: AFP |
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