Asian carriers brace for more rough weather
Published: 17/05/2009 05:00
Asiaâs leading airlines are bracing themselves for more rough weather after earnings nosedived in the first quarter with no signs of a global economic recovery in sight, industry analysts said. | |||||||
| Compounding the airlinesâ woes are the outbreak of swine flu and growing popularity and longer reach of budget airlines in the region, they said. Singapore Airlines (SIA), the latest Asian carrier to release its results, said net profit in its fourth quarter ending March tumbled 92 percent on the year to S$41.9 million (US$28.5 million). During the quarter, revenues sank an annual 19.1 percent to S$3.32 billion while in the fiscal year to March, net profit fell 48.20 percent to S$1.06 billion, SIA said. SIA chief executive Chew Choon Seng said the air travel slump appeared to have leveled off but there was still no evidence to suggest that the situation was starting to improve. âSo we are seeing a flattening out,â he said, but added that while the situation was more encouraging, a real recovery âis still not visible yet.â SIA earns about 40 percent of its revenues from premium traffic, or business and first-class travel, and it has been hit hard by the drop in corporate travel, along with Cathay Pacific of Hong Kong and Australiaâs Qantas. All three airlines have announced measures to contain costs such as unpaid leave and reducing capacity but there is only so much that they can do on the expenditure front, analysts said. âI donât see anything at the moment that can help the airlines… They are doing everything they can to cut their costs,â said Jim Eckes, managing director of the Hong Kong-based consultancy Indoswiss Aviation. âThey will need an economic recovery which so far we just donât see.â Premium traffic has declined on average 30-40 percent from a year ago, said Eckes. âNobody is flying these days in first class or business class… The high-yield business has disappeared,â he said. Eckes said the influenza A (H1N1) outbreak, which has infected over 8,500 people and claimed more than 70 lives, only adds to the airline sectorâs woes. âItâs hard to tell how the virus is affecting travel but it certainly isnât helping the airlines when they are down and they are really down right now,â he said. Derek Sadubin, chief operating officer of the Sydney-based Center for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA), said the regionâs leading full-service carriers were facing additional pressure from discount airlines. âWe are seeing a squeeze from both ends,â Sadubin said. âThe only hope is that the US economy can start to regain some traction and stimulate the world economy back into gear.â Cathay Pacific said in April that revenues plunged 22 percent in the quarter to March, just weeks after announcing it lost more than US$1 billion in 2008. It was the companyâs first full-year loss in a decade. Australiaâs Qantas announced last month plans to further cut jobs to cope with the slump and more than halved its profit forecast for the financial year to June while deferring plane orders. Asiaâs biggest carrier, Japan Airlines, reported in May a net loss of 63.2 billion yen ($664.30 million) for the 12 months to March, against a profit of 16.9 billion yen the previous year. It predicted a similar loss for the year to March 2010 and announced 1,200 job cuts to weather the air travel downturn. Despite the crisis, SIA said it would still go ahead with plans to take delivery of five Airbus A380 super jumbo jets this year but analysts are skeptical if this is the right move amid the global slump. âThey have to seriously review whether they should take the additional A380s,â analyst Shukor Yusof of Standard and Poorâs Asian Equity Research told AFP. âThis is quite severe,â he said of the 92 percent plunge in fourth quarter net profit. SIA currently has six A380s in operation. Source: AFP | |||||||
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